Big Threes' Restructuring plans

I think that congress need to pick one lot (if it were me I'd go for Ford) and turn down the other two and wish them well with the market. Then go on a huge cost saving / transformation exercise along the lines as out lined above.
But then you would have a huge outcry of "But the jobs!". Because GM has developed such a bloated and vast employment network, the sheer number of people that would suddenly have to become unemployed for General Motors to survive is staggering.
 
I still do not see how they can keep three car companies going. Oh well, let us hope that they learn from our (BL) mistake!
 
It's taken two rounds of Congressional hearings, some major pride swallowing and three detailed business plans, but it looks as if the Detroit 3 will be getting the federal loans they need, though not as much they asked for. A deal was reportedly reached between Democratic leaders and the White House that will supply around $15 billion in federal loans to the struggling U.S. auto industry. While General Motors, Ford and Chrysler asked for a combined maximum of $34 billion, the $15 billion is designed to ensure they stay alive until March when the issue will be readdressed with the input of a fresh Obama administration. GM and Chrysler reportedly need around $11 billion to survive the new year, while Ford has said it would only need government aid if one of the other two went under.

Sorry, but I can't understand how it could hurt Ford financially that one of it's competitors goes belly up :blink:

Could someone please explain?
 
That's mainly directed at GM, but Mulally is being polite. If the supply network that they all use, even Toyota and Honda et al, were to suddenly have it's largest customer suddenly stop pumping money into them, then the results would be mildly disastrous.

Basically, what it's coming down to is that a huge chunk of the American economy rests solely and appallingly with General Motors.
 
Okay, and how do they do that. If they could sell cars, they wouldn't be in trouble in the first place.

Congratulations! You got the point: They won't sell enough cars, even if the customers should decide it's time to buy a new one tomorrow. They are unfit for the nearer future in any case, because they are already dead but refuse to accept it. What we're having here, are zombie companies.

That's what I wanted to point out.

And that's why they are doomed (not sure if Ford can make it, if the others go bust).

So every attempt to save them with money, is in vain. And what's currently happening is just political smoke throwing for the stupid masses who still believe it is possible to save the "Big Three". Some headlines called those 15 billion dollars a "rescue package". I almost fell from my chair laughing. Ridiculous choice of words!

The American economy is currently in a downward spiral and it's pulling the rest of the world with it. The bottom is still not in sight. I say the crisis will at least last during the next year, if not the next two years and I agree with Clarkson in that radio interview, that we haven't even seen the start of it.

I wouldn't worry about some car manufacturers. I would start worrying about your own family and how it will go through this crisis. Because sooner or later, everyone will be effected.
 
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At least they circled the problem :p

I have to admit even I am getting a bit irritated by your constant Union bashing and using every possible chance to bash 'em. I'm starting to wonder if you think that the day the UAW dies is the day world peace happens, money and food problems go away, and monkeys fly out of from underneath Kajun's skirt.

No, I don't believe that. On the other hand, they deserve anything they can catch. Speaking of which, have you seen their latest ad, set to air on national TV? I found it supremely irritating, smug, and arrogant - but it's a real UAW ad!

[youtube]lJc6yo1wjSg[/youtube]

"Our jobs are more important than yours."

Propaganda Filter Exercise: Count the number of blatant lies in that 30 second spot.

(Thanks to http://hotair.com/archives/2008/12/...-out-of-work-are-you/comment-page-3/#comments for spotting this - check out the comments there.)

The only catch is, and I'm sure anyone reading this has seen it already: Who takes Wagoner's job? That, I don't know. Discuss!

Wagonner should be fired - if for not other reason than ramrodding the Aztek project through GM. Yes, it was *his* baby.

I don't know who should take over from him. There's nobody in house except maybe Bob Eaton, and while he's a car guy we know his business acumen is more than a bit suspect - selling out a successful Chrysler to Mercedes, anyone?

The only thing that could save GM would be selling cars - lots of them - from today on. That's the primary issue, everything else is secondary. Solving the secondary problems still won't solve the primary problem: Selling cars.

Unless that happens, they are doomed. Not matter if they get 5 billion dollars or 50 billion.

Agreed. It wouldn't matter if they got 500 billion, either - they'd just continue business as usual. Failure should *not* be rewarded.

Okay, and how do they do that. If they could sell cars, they wouldn't be in trouble in the first place.

GM (and the other Big Three) spent literally decades building up ill will against themselves. Between idiot management and product decisions, the UAW halfassedly building cars and the dealers' poor customer service running the customers off, they always managed to find new and interesting ways to screw the customer without regard to the consequences.

It must be said that much of the American public bears some responsibility in enabling this for so long, just like the Brits bear resonsibility for enabling British Leyland.


This money they want, is it a loan? How are they going to pay it back?

Or is it in exchange for equity and if it is then surely all three companies who are supposed to be competing will be owned (partially) by the same beneficial owner - the US Tax payer.

They say this is a loan (see below, this is just until they can get the BIG bailout package), but it's about as much a loan as a loan to a druggie relative would be - you'll never see that money again, ever.

This differs from the prior Chrysler bailout because all Chrysler wanted was loan guarantees - *and* they had UAW concessions plus a comprehensive plan in their hands before they *ever* went before Congress.

$15 billion divvied up to every US citizen works out at $49 per head, roughly. Forgive me if I don't see that fixing the economy.

As for the bailout, this one's just to last the Big 3 'til the next administration is in. Pretty much, the government decided "Nah, we won't decide either way, we'll just decide not to decide for another 3 months".

edit - I'd love to see Spectre's 11 point plan for GM happen, but I doubt the execs have the common sense to do it

Thanks for the compliment. The plan is actually up to 12 steps but the 12th step involves winnowing management and I'm still trying to figure out how *that* would work.

Yes, this one is just to "tide them over" until "THE ONE" (aka Obama - yes, that's what Obama supporters often call him, with religious fervor) can get into office along with the newly elected Democrat supermajority and they can get the "real" bailout package, which is starting to look like it will be at least $100 billion. I suspect the eventual cost will probably end up being about $300 billion, personally.

Since there are about 300 million people in the US, why don't you do the math and tell me how much every person would get.

Then do the math assuming that 150 million are under 18, non-citizens, or otherwise disqualified from receiving a personal bailout.

But then you would have a huge outcry of "But the jobs!". Because GM has developed such a bloated and vast employment network, the sheer number of people that would suddenly have to become unemployed for General Motors to survive is staggering.

I still do not see how they can keep three car companies going. Oh well, let us hope that they learn from our (BL) mistake!

No, they won't. The Democratic Congress is too stupid to realize it - or much care. I recently spoke to a Democrat US Representative (i.e., a Democrat member of the House Of Representatives) from a district near mine; he believed that GM should become a government owned entity and be a jobs program. I pointed out BL, he had never heard of it and when I tried to explain it to him he dismissed it as "irrelevant."

Sorry, but I can't understand how it could hurt Ford financially that one of it's competitors goes belly up :blink:

Could someone please explain?

That's mainly directed at GM, but Mulally is being polite. If the supply network that they all use, even Toyota and Honda et al, were to suddenly have it's largest customer suddenly stop pumping money into them, then the results would be mildly disastrous.

Basically, what it's coming down to is that a huge chunk of the American economy rests solely and appallingly with General Motors.

I think that they're seriously overstating the effects that the economy would suffer if they tanked. GM isn't paying their supplier bills *now*, so how would it be different if they went Chapter 7? Most suppliers have switched over from being dedicated Big Three suppliers to supplying the "import" marque plants here in the US as well, or in some cases, only. The ones that didn't switch are either too stupid or can't produce high enough quality product to be accepted.

Here's a number to put this into perspective. If you add up all the US auto industry, including ALL the suppliers and take that sum out of the US GDP, how much of a percentage do you think you'd lose?

Four percent. The *entire* auto sector in the US, if it went away tomorrow, would only take four percent out of the US GDP.

And that's why they are doomed (not sure if Ford can make it, if the others go bust).

Ford is the only one to come out with an even vaguely viable plan, and they're the only one of the Three to be able to point to world-class products (specifically, the high-fuel efficiency cars that the ruling Dems so desire) in other markets and say that they're going to import them right away - and mean it.

So every attempt to save them with money, is in vain. And what's currently happening is just political smoke throwing for the stupid masses who still believe it is possible to save the "Big Three". Some headlines called those 15 billion dollars a "rescue package". I almost fell from my chair laughing. Ridiculous choice of words!

It's all spin. No more, no less. They're trying to sell it to an unwilling (6 or 7 out of 10 polled oppose or strongly oppose any bailout of the auto industry) populace.

You may not know why they're doing this, though. The unions spent FOUR HUNDRED MILLION DOLLARS to get Obama elected, and an unknown sum on getting more Democrats into Congress. What you're looking at is the unions demanding they get what they paid for.

Of course, the point that they should have spent the four hundred million reforming themselves is completely lost on the unions. If, as some believe, the unions' political expenditures from this last elections topped $1B, they would have spent over half of the outright purchase price of GM.

The American economy is currently in a downward spiral and it's pulling the rest of the world with it. The bottom is still not in sight. I say the crisis will at least last during the next year, if not the next two years and I agree with Clarkson in that radio interview, that we haven't even seen the start of it.

Well, Europe is not blameless for the current problems, either in the financial or automotive sectors. But yes, the American economy's problems are causing *huge* ripple effects around the world.

I wouldn't worry about some car manufacturers. I would start worrying about your own family and how it will go through this crisis. Because sooner or later, everyone will be effected.

The only reason I comment on this stuff at all is because I'm reasonably certain that my family and I are well set to make it through. I have made sure I have multiple saleable skill sets and keep them up to date; I also have made arrangements for my own financial and personal security. Otherwise, I'd stop running my mouth and start frantically planning how to get through the next few years.
 
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Well, Europe is not blameless for the current problems, either in the financial or automotive sectors. But yes, the American economy's problems are causing *huge* ripple effects around the world.

I agree that Europe also shares a part of the fault. But the source of the problem lies not here. Or like someone in a German discussion forum said: "It wouldn't be such a problem, if the out-of-their-mind U.S. society wouldn't have infected greedy Europeans as well".

To stick within the car industry: Particularly our German premium car makers (Mercedes, BMW, Porsche) have oriented their line of products too much on the U.S. market's demands and neglected the home market a bit too much. Now they suffer from the U.S. market breakdown much more, than for example VW or Audi do. But not as much as the Japanese of course.

The difference, however, is that our car makers and the Japanese car makers still have other markets to rely on and mostly have a lot of cash in reserve from many fat years in the past, while GM, Ford and Chrysler are way beyond of just being broke and are totally dependent on the U.S. market (if you count out the European divisions, which actually act like independent car makers and can survive on their own).

So the bottom line is: The trouble is here, too, but the chances of survival and weathering the crisis out are incomparable higher.

Personally I don't see any problems with my future or my family's future, too. I have a save job in an extremely healthy company, in a trade that has always been profiting from an economical crisis :)

Propaganda Filter Exercise: Count the number of blatant lies in that 30 second spot.

I counted eight...
 
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Since there are about 300 million people in the US, why don't you do the math and tell me how much every person would get.

Then do the math assuming that 150 million are under 18, non-citizens, or otherwise disqualified from receiving a personal bailout.

At the current $10 billion loan, about $60 per person, assuming half the population aren't eligible.

If the loan is $100 billion then that (obviously) becomes $600 per person, and if it were $300 billion, well, it'd be $1,800.

Here's the thing. The loan will do one of two things - it'll either keep the life support running for GM, Chrysler and Ford long enough for them to recover or it'll keep it going for a while then they die. I don't think anyone can honestly predict which it'll be at the moment.

In comparison, your idea (give the money to Joe Worker) would result in every (eligible) American getting from $30 to almost $2,000. Would that save the economy? Again, shrug. I personally don't believe it would, though - look at the tax rebates this year. People recieved a cheque for up to $1200, and that hasn't helped the economy.

Yes, admittedly that's a bad comparison as one is getting back money that technically they'd paid out already and one is, well, just being given money.

And yes, if people recieved a cheque for $2,000 it would stimulate the economy (odds are most people would spend a two-grand windfall over saving it), but it'd be a temporary measure - as soon as the money is spent (or saved), it's back to business as usual and companies all over (not just carmakers) start going bust again.

spectre said:
Thanks for the compliment. The plan is actually up to 12 steps but the 12th step involves winnowing management and I'm still trying to figure out how *that* would work.

Find anyone whose job title consists of more than two words or has 'executive' in it. Then run it through a common-sense filter - "Research and Development head" would stay, "Vice-executive assistant for the preparation of media analysis reports" would go.

Also fire anyone involved in the Aztek's development that didn't write a memo saying "Er, anyone honestly think this is a good idea?"
 
I am rather depressed by the idea of them going under personally. :(
Sure, they're making crap cars, I am well aware of that. What is depressing is looking at what they're just pushing out now seems to have potential to be good. They make a muscle cars that can take a corner and NOW they go under? For the first time in years I look at those cars and think I'd maybe want one, and I have been laughing at ford since I was under the impression that i was going to buy a horse. Now I look and think just maybe they can put out a car worth buying. I am sad now.
 
Now I look and think just maybe they can put out a car worth buying. I am sad now.
Right, they can put out a car worth buying... but out of how many other totally crap cars? For every Challenger, CTS-V, and ZR1 they put out... we get just as many PT Cruiser'sHHR's, 300's, Aveo's, Escalade's, Tahoe's, and Canyon's. How long has it taken for them to put out a single car that's appealed to you?
 
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Gotta take exception to the PT Cruiser. It was redeemed by the optional turbo motor and the fact that it was CHEEEEEEEEEEAP.

Swap "HHR" for "PT Cruiser" and you've got it right.
 
k. :p
 

My stepmother has one and it's not bad.

Even after she near-totalled it three days after she got it.

PICT0001.jpg


PICT0005.jpg


Think of the PT Cruiser as a Neon wagon that could have the SRT4 engine, and it suddenly sucks a lot less.

Before you ask, it was Hecho en Mexico. Not by the soon to be Unemployed Auto Workers; it was also purchased slightly used from the original owner with 2000 miles on it, less than a year after it'd been made.
 
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That's not a Neon. It doesn't get the turbo Neon engine. It's worse than the Neon at everything.

And, fortunately, nobody seems to be buying them.
 
That's not a Neon. It doesn't get the turbo Neon engine. It's worse than the Neon at everything.
It's the Neon replacement. Yes it does; same 2.4L engine and Mitsu T04 turbo. You're probably right.
 
It's a similar but not identical engine, from what I can see. {shrug} It also is slower and weighs more than the Neon SRT4.

http://www.caranddriver.com/reviews...ber_srt4_road_test+t-counterpoint+page-3.html

The SRT people predict 0-to-60 mph in a little over six seconds. We clocked 5.9. The quarter-mile ate up 14.4 seconds, showing a 103-mph trap speed. Top speed is officially listed as 155 mph, although one of the SRT development guys says he ran a prototype to as high as 161.

Regular readers will recall that the Neon-based SRT4 we tested in April 2004 posted better numbers: 5.3 seconds to 60, the quarter in 13.9 at 103. You'll also recall that a Mazdaspeed 3 ["Power Toys," May 2007] ran to 60 mph in 5.4 and through the quarter in 14 flat at 101. We should note here that at 3233 pounds the Caliber is 249 pounds heavier than that Neon-based SRT4 and 48 pounds heavier than the Mazdaspeed. Mass is never a plus for acceleration, nor does it help braking. The SRT4's brakes don't fade, but 175-foot stops from 70 mph can't be called impressive.

Handling: It didn't take many circuits at Putnam Park near Greencastle, Indiana, to convince us that the SRT4 isn't happy on a racetrack. Understeer in this environment ranges from mulish to absolute, the limited suspension travel provokes some unpleasant wallowing, and the actions of the traction control produce some strange sensations, although the engineers insist it's more effective than a conventional limited-slip diff, which they tried initially.

So, basically, Mercedes took the Neon idea and COMPLETELY SCREWED IT UP.
 
It's the Neon replacement. Yes it does; same 2.4L engine and Mitsu T04 turbo. You're probably right.

It was Daimler's fix for a successful car.
 
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