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  1. Dr_Grip

    Covid 19 CRISIS

    Is this an actual problem or a media story? So far, apart from some anecdotal cases (sadly, including my mom) we don't have a statistically significant AZ uptake problem, on the contrary, Berlin had to extend the timeframe for immediate 60+ vaccination with AZ twice due to overwhelming demand...
  2. Dr_Grip

    Covid 19 CRISIS

    Some vaccine vs. variant research updates from Nature: Real world data from Israel suggests that while the BioNTech vaccine is less efficient against South African super covid than against vanilla and British covid, it's enough to keep the variant from spreading Sputnik V, on the other hand, is...
  3. Dr_Grip

    Covid 19 CRISIS

    I just looked at the shipping plans for Norway and they are as skewed towards BioNTech/Moderna as Germany's are. A complete washout of J&J and AstraZeneca would hurt, yes. But not dramatically. Maybe you'll only be done by August, not July as planned right now.
  4. Dr_Grip

    Covid 19 CRISIS

    @narf even better ;-) So where do your prognosis put our first shot vaccination rare by end of May?
  5. Dr_Grip

    Covid 19 CRISIS

    As Finland is doing the 12-week interval you are slightly ahead of the rest of Europe. So get ready to be vaccinated soon...
  6. Dr_Grip

    Covid 19 CRISIS

    We will crack the 20% of the general populace vaccinated mark our Public Health Minister set as a full-month target by end of this week, on Monday latest. I think the 25% first shot mark is in sight by end of this month (we will lose some first shot pace in late April as we will have a higher...
  7. Dr_Grip

    Covid 19 CRISIS

    3.5 Million per week.
  8. Dr_Grip

    Covid 19 CRISIS

    Spahn promised 3.5 million doses in the Hausarztpraxen by End of April. Taking into account that J&J is a complete washout for now, this is not surprising. We will catch up with extra BioNTech doses in May.
  9. Dr_Grip

    Covid 19 CRISIS

    That's slightly less than planned for week three, right?
  10. Dr_Grip

    Covid 19 CRISIS

    I think this plays a huge part, if you look at the overall numbers. 20% first shots are within sight, and the end of the month total looks a lot closer to 25% by now.
  11. Dr_Grip

    Covid 19 CRISIS

    ...and as if they have a stash set aside to compensate for other's fuckups and generate positive PR, Pfizer and BioNTech will magically deliver tens of millions of extra doses to the US and EU goverrnments. The message is clear: where J&J, AstraZeneca, and Merck stumble, Pfizer's a name you can...
  12. Dr_Grip

    Covid 19 CRISIS

    Vaccine uptake among healthcare workers in Berlin at 85%. This is tremendously good news. If we keep this up, my estimate for "everyone who wants a shot get one" may get pushed back by up to four weeks (15%/10 Mio extra people to vaccinate) - but let's not celebrate before we get more intel...
  13. Dr_Grip

    Covid 19 CRISIS

    There's a very small minority of people (less than .1 percent) that can't get vaccinated due to medical reasons. But for the 99.9% of people over 16 who can take one of the vaccines, I fully support a "us vs. them" attitude: Those who act responsible towards themselves and society by getting...
  14. Dr_Grip

    Covid 19 CRISIS

    As we had this debate a few pages downthread, let me just recap my main point quickly: Currently, people have basic rights taken away from them because they pose a danger to themselves and others (due to asymptomatic/pre-symptomatic covid spread). If this changes (because due to being...
  15. Dr_Grip

    Covid 19 CRISIS

    German doctors being German doctors, they dedicate Monday to putting people on "yellow holidays"* (i.e. signing sick notes) and don't like to work on Fridays, so we can expect huge peaks Tue-Thu as they burn through more than 1,2 mio doses a day, with "only" a 400-ish baseline from the...
  16. Dr_Grip

    Covid 19 CRISIS

    In more positive vaccination news, Germany administered 656.357 shots on Wednesday, more than twice the earlier all time high. Adjusted for population size, this equals 2.3 million in the US. This number probably is a blip due to not all vaccination sites operating during the four day Easter...
  17. Dr_Grip

    Covid 19 CRISIS

    For those who wondered how 15 Million (!) J&J vaccine doeses can be accidentally spoiled by AstraZeneca ingredients, Derek Lowe has the story: https://blogs.sciencemag.org/pipeline/archives/2021/04/08/vaccine-manufacturing-woes-at-emergent tl;dr - contract manufacturer plays fast and loose with...
  18. Dr_Grip

    Covid 19 CRISIS

    @calvinhobbes - I, too, am shocked by a government that among other things: Basked in the glory of "gold standard first wave response" without doing any preparation for a second wave Continued re-opening in Summer with cases on the rise Enjoyed listening to attention-hungry hotshot scientists...
  19. Dr_Grip

    Covid 19 CRISIS

  20. Dr_Grip

    Covid 19 CRISIS

    We are on the same page here - Knowing you from FG for ages, I was shocked by the tonality and self-centeredness of your earlier post, so let's either leave it at this or take it to DMs.
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