Dr_Grip
Made from concentrate
- Joined
- Jul 8, 2008
- Messages
- 15,215
- Location
- HEL
- Car(s)
- 79 Opel Kadett|72 Ford Country Sedan|03 Volvo XC70
Addendum: I just went back through parts of this thread - we have come down quite some way in the infection mortality department, with the Brazilian study above putting it at .28%, which is less than a tenth of what was assumed early in the pandemic.
By now this seems not too different to the seasonal flu. The problem with covid, thus, is not so much how deadly it is, but how quickly it spreads in a populace with unprepared immune systems, and that it does not go away in summer - the seasonal flu catches "only" up to 20% of the population per season, while covid running unchecked burns through the populace at a brutal pace. Plus, we have vaccines and treatments against the flu.
Another observation - compared with the scenarios from March/April, even current worst case predictions look rather good.
By now this seems not too different to the seasonal flu. The problem with covid, thus, is not so much how deadly it is, but how quickly it spreads in a populace with unprepared immune systems, and that it does not go away in summer - the seasonal flu catches "only" up to 20% of the population per season, while covid running unchecked burns through the populace at a brutal pace. Plus, we have vaccines and treatments against the flu.
Another observation - compared with the scenarios from March/April, even current worst case predictions look rather good.
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