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Germany: Nuclear power plants to close by 2022

nor the literally uninsurable risk.
It’s not uninsurable. The risks posed to nuclear and its waste is far smaller than those of coal mining and utilization. If people applied the same irrational logic to nuclear that they did to coal, coal would also be uninsurable.
 
German electricity prices for industrial consumption are _down_ this year, despite the last nukes being turned off now. The peak was 2nd half of last year, while the nukes were still nuking.
 
I guess no one here understands risk assessment and how Nuclear Power mathematically beats out all other forms of power generation.
 
I guess no one here understands risk assessment and how Nuclear Power mathematically beats out all other forms of power generation.



Please explain to us how much safer nuclear energy is compared to wind and solar.
 
Please explain to us how much safer nuclear energy is compared to wind and solar.
also how it "mathematically beats out all other forms of power generation" - that is something I'd love to read lol🍿

It’s not uninsurable. The risks posed to nuclear and its waste is far smaller than those of coal mining and utilization. If people applied the same irrational logic to nuclear that they did to coal, coal would also be uninsurable.
you do understand how fact vs opinion works right? because the first part that you dispute, is a fact: there is no insurer that agrees to insure nuclear. hence the label "uninsurable". now the rest of your statement is your opinion... which seems to differ from the assessment of the worlds insurers, because... well see above, I guess? I will agree that if the worlds coal-burners were held accountable for the actual risks and subsequent damages, that shit would probably also be uninsurable.
 
The problem I have with all of this is there seems to be no real solution to replace the electricity generated by these plants.
 
The problem I have with all of this is there seems to be no real solution to replace the electricity generated by these plants.
See above: with switching off those remaining plants, Germany doesn't suddenly have a big hole in its generation capacity it has to fill. Renewables have, for the most part, filled up the free capacity in the grid and prices have actually sunk - despite what certain fudsters would have you believe.

I will admit this is probably due to the fact that we only had a measly 3 reactors left providing a total 7.5% or so of max load, combined with a huge renewable share already - so the entire system was very well prepared to fill this small gap. may will be whole different story where nuclear plays a bigger role, of course, but this also shows that quitting nuclear, if done over a long period of time (as it actually happened here) can work well.

also: storage. a wild combination of storage solutions. batteries. pumped water. seasonal in the form of hydrogen and the like, all that kind of stuff. also: finally leverage the bloody storage better:
  • my home battery is 14 kWh that i am only ever allowed to use privately - it is forbidden for me to feed back any energy from that battery to the grid. which is insane, if you think about it. I can still use it to help the grid, but much more limited than I would otherwise be, since I can only ever charge it in times of excess, but I have to empty it out myself.
  • plus: I have a car with a ~74 kWh battery of which probably 50 I don't need in my daily life - i.e. I'd be more than happy to just blankly offer 20% of my car's battery to the grid. reimburse me for it, sure, but I'd be happy to help out. even if you just leave it up to me and ditch the financial risk on me: happy to do it! the fluctuations in energy price, even negative prices, are so insanely large from time to time, that I'm certain I could make a pretty penny just helping balance supply and demand with (both those) huge batteries. but I can't. the car can't physically do it unless I install a 10k€ DC wallbox, then I am not allowed to do it. oof.
other places are much further along in that regard... I have a Dutch former colleague, who admittedly works for a grid operator, but he has a 30 kWh home battery that he runs as nearly entirely grid-support. he fills it up when prices are low/negative, he empties it back into the grid when they're high. simple. and he makes bank. why not enable that stuff for everyone? people are installing home batteries like crazy currently...
 
Ok, I misunderstood the significance of nuclear in Germany. :)

I think the main focus first is getting people’s meters upgraded so you can use the system installed. That then of course leaves us with customers that are less reliant on the grid. That’s good to spread out the electrical generation but bad for grid maintenance and revenue because, how do the companies maintaining the infrastructure get revenue to pay for repairs should we send power back?
 
Ok, I misunderstood the significance of nuclear in Germany. :)

I think the main focus first is getting people’s meters upgraded so you can use the system installed. That then of course leaves us with customers that are less reliant on the grid. That’s good to spread out the electrical generation but bad for grid maintenance and revenue because, how do the companies maintaining the infrastructure get revenue to pay for repairs should we send power back?


First, you still pay a fee to be tied to the grid, even if you don't use any power. Second, the power company doesn't pay you the same rate that they are charging for using your power.
 
Second, the power company doesn't pay you the same rate that they are charging for using your power.
Yeah that's really the short of it and the truth for most residential photovoltaic systems here. there's usually a differente of 3:1 or even 4:1 between energy taken from the grid and energy fed into it (although that's not quite fair, because the former includes taxes and grid fees and suchlike).

there are a few systems that have run their 20 year fixed grid feed tariff and now have to run "in the market" and are thus generating fluctuating revenue for their owners. in most cases, the technical, organisational and bureaucratic hurdles to make that happen are, however, simply not worth it, which really is a shame.

however, @93Flareside has a bit of a point: people with large PV + battery system won't be getting as much energy from the grid, depriving the dso of their grid fees (that are, in addition to the flat connection fee, usually kWH-based). since the dso is regulated in such a way, that they basically (simplifying massively here) paid what they need to operate their grid (because critical infrastructure), this can lead to a shift in effective grid cost from more wealthy (i. e. PV+battery owning) people to the less wealthy (i.e. no PV) - more of a social problem...
 
Please explain to us how much safer nuclear energy is compared to wind and solar.
Sure:


I’m sure some obtuse bad faith argument will be orchestrated to refute it so let’s look at something like fire risk. The fire risk of wind turbines is given by:

An estimated 200,000 wind turbines operated globally in 2011. Based on data in the IAFSS report, we can assume there were 117 fires that same year (both reported and unreported). That means 1 in every 1,710 turbines caught fire in 2011.

Another data set produced by DNV GL, an internationally accredited registrar and classification society, estimates the rate of fire in wind turbines at 1 in 2,000 each year.The DNV GL analysis examined all wind turbine fires, regardless of whether the fire resulted in a total loss of the turbine.

A 2020 article in Wind Power Engineering Magazine also estimates that 1 in 2,000 wind turbines catch fire each year.

source

why should we care? Well…



By comparison, you will struggle to find a safety-critical system or component in an NPP that would have a failure rate within 5 or 6 orders of magnitude.
 
Sure:


I’m sure some obtuse bad faith argument will be orchestrated to refute it so let’s look at something like fire risk. The fire risk of wind turbines is given by:



source

why should we care? Well…



By comparison, you will struggle to find a safety-critical system or component in an NPP that would have a failure rate within 5 or 6 orders of magnitude.


Fire can be contained and put out, and that area will recover in a few years. Contamination from radiation is much harder to deal with. See both Fukushima and Chernobyl. When will those areas be able to recover?
 
Chernobyl was a freak accident of very many idiotic decisions including an inferior design that even Russia stopped using as it was back then. Fukushima was due to building nuclear plant in an earthquake prone area. Germany and most of Europe is neither those things.
 
Chernobyl was a freak accident of very many idiotic decisions including an inferior design that even Russia stopped using as it was back then. Fukushima was due to building nuclear plant in an earthquake prone area. Germany and most of Europe is neither those things.


And both are examples of the worst case scenario, just as the fire in wind turbines.
 
Fire can be contained and put out, and that area will recover in a few years. Contamination from radiation is much harder to deal with. See both Fukushima and Chernobyl. When will those areas be able to recover?

Sure but the damage from the smoke (CO2) from a large forest fire negates the

As for Fukushima, a lot of the area has already recovered. Probably not much longer to recover the rest. The Fukushima situation has largely been overblown given that only one person has died from the event and the death wasn't even a result of any radiation exposure.
Technically, both were examples that the worst case scenario (that had been considered in the design) wasn't bad enough.
You don't actually know that. In the case of Fukushima, the probability of a flood or a tsunami knocking out the backup power was deemed to be within the acceptable amount of risk tolerance. Given that the earthquake and tsunami killed exponentially more people than the failure of the plant itself, the risk calculation was not wrong.

That all said, newer generation plants resolve a majority of these issues to reduce the risk even further by additional orders of magnitude.

Unfortunately, since the average person is incapable of assessing risk, this point is lost on them, and instead decided to double down on stupid things like Lithium batteries which have some of the worst rates of failure and risk exposures.
 
Unfortunately, since the average person is incapable of assessing risk, this point is lost on them, and instead decided to double down on stupid things like Lithium batteries which have some of the worst rates of failure and risk exposures.

Clearly, you are much smarter than everyone else :rolleyes: Thus, since I’m apparently too dumb to follow your reasoning, I will now start ignoring your posts :dunno:
 
Clearly, you are much smarter than everyone else :rolleyes: Thus, since I’m apparently too dumb to follow your reasoning, I will now start ignoring your posts :dunno:

I have to admit that he made me think. Would it be better to have a miniature NPP in each of my mobile devices instead of those “stupid lithium batteries”? :unsure:
 
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