Random Thoughts (Political Edition)

What is the political agenda again? That every single scientific body and, I know you hate the number, 97% of climate scientists are pushing this notion for funding?

To be fair it wouldn't be the first time, the idea that leaded gasoline fumes were toxic was basically pursued by a single person against overwhelming "consensus" that it wasn't.
 
What is the political agenda again? That every single scientific body and, I know you hate the number, 97% of climate scientists are pushing this notion for funding?
That's part of the concern, yes.
 
To be fair it wouldn't be the first time, the idea that leaded gasoline fumes were toxic was basically pursued by a single person against overwhelming "consensus" that it wasn't.


Who was saying it wasn't? Scientists or corporations?
 
Former funded by latter, the point is that having scientists reach a "consensus" due to reasons beyond scientific inquiry is far from unprecedented.

I won't disagree with that. But I think times are different and information is more readily available, and I don't think that's the case regarding climate change.

I think that also shows how the government has colluded with oil & gas against the public interest. Which is what's happening again.
 
I won't disagree with that. But I think times are different and misinformation is more readily available, and I don't think that's the case regarding climate change.

I think that also shows how the government has colluded with oil & gas against the public interest. Which is what's happening again.

FTFY

I very much see Jim's point, just because a bunch of scientists agree doesn't mean they are right, they can even be honestly mistaking.
 
I think the honest problem with the climate change debate isn't the science, it's when you start asking for people's money. Threatening to raise people's utility rates and/or taxes or whatever. That's when it starts to sound like a sales pitch and people tune out. No one minds green energy, but people do mind when you stuff it down their throat and charge them heavily for it.
 
I think the honest problem with the climate change debate isn't the science, it's when you start asking for people's money. Threatening to raise people's utility rates and/or taxes or whatever. That's when it starts to sound like a sales pitch and people tune out. No one minds green energy, but people do mind when you stuff it down their throat and charge them heavily for it.

Science costs money. Besides you pay either way, via healthcare costs as an example.
 
FTFY

I very much see Jim's point, just because a bunch of scientists agree doesn't mean they are right, they can even be honestly mistaking.

I think the honest problem with the climate change debate isn't the science, it's when you start asking for people's money. Threatening to raise people's utility rates and/or taxes or whatever. That's when it starts to sound like a sales pitch and people tune out. No one minds green energy, but people do mind when you stuff it down their throat and charge them heavily for it.


The notion that the overwhelming vast majority of climate scientists in the world (not just the USA) are consistently either lying, on the take or making a mistake is a bit too cynical for me. Again, it's every single scientific body nationally and internationally. Peer-reviewed paper and peer-reviewed paper. Plus just common sense that we as humans cause so much pollution it's absurd to think that is isn't having a negative impact on the planet....let alone actually helping it (which seems to be what CO2Coalition wants people to think).

At this rate we shouldn't accept anything.
 
Science costs money. Besides you pay either way, via healthcare costs as an example.

Well, there is a difference between pollutants and CO2. Do healthcare costs increase in warmer climates verses colder ones?

This is the difference between a company like Toyota selling a Hybrid car and the government banning anything with an internal combustion engine and forcing people to spend $50k on dreary EV's. It's not that people don't believe in climate change, it's more that they want to maintain their current lifestyles. If you can implement greener energy without negatively impacting people's lives, then people will be far more supportive of actual initiatives. But since that doesn't appear to be the case, people are resistant. It's only natural.


On a side note, one of the benefits of people in the west having less kids than in the past is the potential reduction in pollution. Less people, less pollution. But apparently that hasn't occurred to many western governments, since they use the reduction in child births to push for more immigration. You would think they might embrace the voluntary reduction as a blessing, since population controls are typically a tragic thing, but you'd be wrong. Not that we could have an honest conversation about that without accusations of racism being thrown around.
 
Well, there is a difference between pollutants and CO2. Do healthcare costs increase in warmer climates verses colder ones?
It's all linked, burning fossil fuels produces CO2 it's a direct relationship.

This is the difference between a company like Toyota selling a Hybrid car and the government banning anything with an internal combustion engine and forcing people to spend $50k on dreary EV's. It's not that people don't believe in climate change, it's more that they want to maintain their current lifestyles. If you can implement greener energy without negatively impacting people's lives, then people will be far more supportive of actual initiatives. But since that doesn't appear to be the case, people are resistant. It's only natural.
People hate change no matter what, there has been push back against just about every technology you can think of and there are always negative consequences. Automation and computers certainly put a lot of people outta work but I don't think many would argue that it's a net positive. Now I'm not saying force everyone to get EVs but certain amount of disruption is simply inevitable.

On a side note, one of the benefits of people in the west having less kids than in the past is the potential reduction in pollution. Less people, less pollution. But apparently that hasn't occurred to many western governments, since they use the reduction in child births to push for more immigration. You would think they might embrace the voluntary reduction as a blessing, since population controls are typically a tragic thing, but you'd be wrong. Not that we could have an honest conversation about that without accusations of racism being thrown around.
You are forgetting the fact that young people working is what allows old people to retire and collect pensions and such. This is going to be a massive problem for China very shortly due to one child policies.
 
It's all linked, burning fossil fuels produces CO2 it's a direct relationship.
Sure, but I'm questioning the financial aspect. Do you have a citation that the amount spent on green energy would be recovered through decreasing health care costs?

People hate change no matter what, there has been push back against just about every technology you can think of and there are always negative consequences. Automation and computers certainly put a lot of people outta work but I don't think many would argue that it's a net positive. Now I'm not saying force everyone to get EVs but certain amount of disruption is simply inevitable.
Of course, but it's naive to expect people to be happy about it or accept it without resistance. There will always be pushback, it's only natural. People will latch on to any speculation out of simple self interest.

You are forgetting the fact that young people working is what allows old people to retire and collect pensions and such. This is going to be a massive problem for China very shortly due to one child policies.
I'm not forgetting that at all. People always want to have their cake and eat it too. If we were the least bit intelligent, we might try implementing retirement plans that are actually sustainable. The point is simply that the same people pushing for greener energy are also pushing policies that will negatively impact the climate. Each person produces a lot of pollution throughout their lives, so it should be a good thing that our populations are evening out, without authoritarian population controls. It looks like a gift horse to me...
 
I think the honest problem with the climate change debate isn't the science, it's when you start asking for people's money. Threatening to raise people's utility rates and/or taxes or whatever. That's when it starts to sound like a sales pitch and people tune out. No one minds green energy, but people do mind when you stuff it down their throat and charge them heavily for it.

The underlying problem is a wide-spread belief/perception that the environment doesn't matter. Climate change is perceived as something intangible.

What you are saying is true. But let's consider, by comparison, defense spending. You still stuff the bill down the people's throats, but they don't mind it, because it is ingrained in our minds that the amount of defense spending is necessary, and tangible, to keep us safe.

In reality, both are impossible to control - you can't guarantee total safety, and you can't stop climate change. But the popular perception is that you can achieve the first, while the latter is a pipe dream that we are just wasting money on.

I'm not sure whether it is lack of knowledge about the importance of the environment, or whether it it's a case of knowing and simply not giving a fuck.
 
The underlying problem is a wide-spread belief/perception that the environment doesn't matter. Climate change is perceived as something intangible.

What you are saying is true. But let's consider, by comparison, defense spending. You still stuff the bill down the people's throats, but they don't mind it, because it is ingrained in our minds that the amount of defense spending is necessary, and tangible, to keep us safe.

In reality, both are impossible to control - you can't guarantee total safety, and you can't stop climate change. But the popular perception is that you can achieve the first, while the latter is a pipe dream that we are just wasting money on.

I'm not sure whether it is lack of knowledge about the importance of the environment, or whether it it's a case of knowing and simply not giving a fuck.
I do think people care about the environment, but in a more superficial way. People don't like deforestation, for example, or littering. Examples of the environment being ruined in very clear and very obvious ways are a very easy sell to the vast majority of people. Things people can see with their own two eyes. The problem with global warming/climate change is that we cannot see it. We watch the weather report each morning and see the record high was set back in 1963. It's a tough sell trying to convince people that there is an immediate and devastating threat.
 
I do think people care about the environment, but in a more superficial way. People don't like deforestation,

[video=youtube;3-BvmRVb_EE]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3-BvmRVb_EE[/video]
 
Sure, but I'm questioning the financial aspect. Do you have a citation that the amount spent on green energy would be recovered through decreasing health care costs?
CO2 is not the only thing released during those processes, also I couldn't quantify healthcare costs but I could tell you that asthma is much more common now, especially in urban environments, than it used to be even 20 years ago. Also you don't have to feel bad to the point of needing healthcare but just not 100%.


Of course, but it's naive to expect people to be happy about it or accept it without resistance. There will always be pushback, it's only natural. People will latch on to any speculation out of simple self interest.
Hence the need to "cram it down their throats".

I'm not forgetting that at all. People always want to have their cake and eat it too. If we were the least bit intelligent, we might try implementing retirement plans that are actually sustainable. The point is simply that the same people pushing for greener energy are also pushing policies that will negatively impact the climate. Each person produces a lot of pollution throughout their lives, so it should be a good thing that our populations are evening out, without authoritarian population controls. It looks like a gift horse to me...
It's nowhere near as simple as that, economies require workers to function, progress requires inventors and scientists, they require people who can carry out their instructions, etc... Sure automation and robotics are progressing but we are still not quite at the point where dropping population is a good thing. There is also the fact that young people tend to take more risks than old people meaning that they are more likely to start their own businesses or come up with disruptive ideas.
 
CO2 is not the only thing released during those processes, also I couldn't quantify healthcare costs but I could tell you that asthma is much more common now, especially in urban environments, than it used to be even 20 years ago. Also you don't have to feel bad to the point of needing healthcare but just not 100%.
Going back to the original point though, you said we would spend money either way. Either we spend it on green energy or we spend it on healthcare. But which would be more expensive? It's like spending $10k extra for a hybrid version of a car, over the normal gas version. How much better is the fuel economy and how long would it take you to save $10k on gas? Longer than the projected operational lifespan of the car?

I find this relevant because I have heard discussions about whether it would be cheaper to fight climate change or to simply deal with the consequences.

It's nowhere near as simple as that, economies require workers to function, progress requires inventors and scientists, they require people who can carry out their instructions, etc... Sure automation and robotics are progressing but we are still not quite at the point where dropping population is a good thing. There is also the fact that young people tend to take more risks than old people meaning that they are more likely to start their own businesses or come up with disruptive ideas.
Any reduction in population would be small. Most of the numbers I've seen from western countries seem to hover right around 2 children per woman, which would sustain the population. It's not as though we have an insignificant population as it is. There are still going to be millions of births each year. Plenty of potential scientists and inventors.

But progress comes at a price. We can't have our cake and eat it too. More people, more pollution. It doesn't even matter how green we can make it. It all has an impact.
 
There are other costs that need to be addressed besides the direct healthcare costs. Missed productivity due to the asthma or other maladies associated with pollution. So cleaning the exhaust from a car or power plant may add a few percent to the cost of power or a car, but the reduction in healthcare costs and not being out of work more than make up for it.

It is like changing bulbs to use less power is cheaper than building more power plants.
 
Going back to the original point though, you said we would spend money either way. Either we spend it on green energy or we spend it on healthcare. But which would be more expensive? It's like spending $10k extra for a hybrid version of a car, over the normal gas version. How much better is the fuel economy and how long would it take you to save $10k on gas? Longer than the projected operational lifespan of the car?

I find this relevant because I have heard discussions about whether it would be cheaper to fight climate change or to simply deal with the consequences.
If the issue is purely economical then yes it would be relevant however CO2 output is a symptom of a larger problem, see Shanghai for an extreme example of that. IMO it's worth to spend some money for a cleaner environment even if dealing with consequence would technically be cheaper.


But progress comes at a price. We can't have our cake and eat it too. More people, more pollution. It doesn't even matter how green we can make it. It all has an impact.
Certainly but the amount of impact matters, if currently per person impact is 100 and we reduce it to 1 then you can have 100 people w/o any increase in impact. I'm not really advocating for population increase, just saying it's not that simple.
 
https://www.theguardian.com/world/v...ds-clash-over-campaign-access-video-explainer
Turkey and the Netherlands are embroiled in a diplomatic row after the Dutch government barred Turkish ministers from entering the country to campaign for referendum due to take place next month. A private jet carrying Turkish foreign minister Mevlut Cavusoglu was denied permission to land in Rotterdam on Saturday while the country?s family minister, Fatma Bet?l Sayan Kaya, was blocked from entering the Turkish embassy in the city and escorted back to the German border later that night.[...]

fun fact that is often overlooked:
Turkish law prohibits election campaigning outside the country.
Despite this, the Turkish government has become deeply enmeshed in a battle with European countries, especially Germany, over bans on rallies in several towns.
The government is trying to woo voters abroad for the upcoming referendum on expanding President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's powers. Millions of people of Turkish descent live in Europe.
The relevant section of the law is Article 94/A of the general election law, which explicitly bans campaigning abroad or in foreign diplomatic missions.
Mehmet Hadimi Yakupoglu, who is part of the election commission from the opposition People's Republican Party (CHP), confirmed that the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) enacted the administrative provision in 2008. Most major parties violate the rule.[...]
http://www.dpa-international.com/topic/urn:newsml:dpa.com:20090101:170309-99-595734/amp

The row with Berlin has deteriorated to the point where Erdogan charged that Germany was engaging in "Nazi practices." Another minister from the Islamic-conservative AKP denounced "fascism."

Turkey's Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu held a rally with supporters in Hamburg on Wednesday evening. The poster for the event featured a campaign slogan - "our decision is yes" - and the party logo. People in the crowd held "yes" signs.
The event was held at the residence of the Turkish Consulate General, raising further questions. Cavusoglu has insisted he was merely addressing the Turkish community in Germany. His speech was about the government's ongoing referendum campaign.
About 1.4 million Turks in Germany alone are eligible to vote in the referendum on April 16.
The Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE), which observed the last parliamentary election in Turkey, in November 2015, noted it was "legally prohibited" to campaign outside the country and doing so was an "administrative violation."

The OSCE noted this rule was violated by three parties - including the AKP and CHP - and a fourth party lodged a complaint to the election commission, but this was rejected, though the arbitrators "did not provide sound legal reasoning."
The head of the AKP election campaign abroad, Mustafa Yeneroglu, a member of parliament, declined to comment on the law. He recently complained that his party was being systemically denied the chance to appear abroad while the opposition was being helped.
The Turkish election commission published a decision expanding on the general election law and relevant to the referendum on February 15, confirming that propaganda abroad or at border crossings were not permitted.
Sezgin Tanrikulu, a member of Turkish parliament from the CHP, told dpa that indeed the law banned campaigning abroad, but noted that no criminal liability is attached to the provision. Rather it is a "moral obligation."[...]
 
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