Chance of a Biden Electoral college win if he wins the popular vote by X points:
0-1 points: just 6%!
1-2 points: 22%
2-3 points: 46%
3-4 points: 74%
4-5 points: 89%
5-6 points: 98%
6-7 points: 99%
I like your optimism, but I don’t see that happening until perhaps the boomers and gen x’s are all dead. Even then, the democratic idea has seemingly been “Let’s not rock the Apple cart” and allow anyone with strong left policies become a majority representative.” Biden is one of those types I think and many before him, this is why someone like Bernie would never make it no matter how much we try.And yet he's only 7 points behind... makes me worry for what happens when an actually competent far-right populist autocrat decides to run for office one day.
From all that I have learned, the fascist governments of Germany and Italy were very far from competent. They “made up” for some of their incompetence through fanaticism, but thankfully, that was never enough to swing the balance in their favour.I really don't want to Godwin this thread, but I think we've seen before that they are not.
Absolutely! I don’t subscribe to the idea that everything is left versus right; any populist is in this particular pool.Remove the "far-right" bit and the pool gets larger still too.