U.S. 2024 elections

I find it baffling how one of the cited reasons is the economy… do those people live in opposite land or something? WTF have they been smoking?
 
I find it baffling how one of the cited reasons is the economy… do those people live in opposite land or something? WTF have they been smoking?

Americans are notoriously "short term thinking" motivated. As a result, we (royal we) tend to not get that the economy is a lagging indicator and attribute it to whatever president is currently in power.

It's stupid but at this point something that'll likely never change in my lifetime.
 
Americans are notoriously "short term thinking" motivated. As a result, we (royal we) tend to not get that the economy is a lagging indicator and attribute it to whatever president is currently in power.

It's stupid but at this point something that'll likely never change in my lifetime.

GDP growth last month was 4.9%

The economy is doing better than people believe and the economy is less of a factor in voters motivations.
 

Ethics report finds Santos used campaign funds to pay for OnlyFans, Botox, Sephora​


New York Republican Rep. George Santos, who represents parts of Long Island and Queens, announced today he's dropping his bid for a second term after a House ethics report blasted him for criminal activity and lying to voters.


Let me translate that for you: people will no longer donate funds to his campaign because they heard about the credit card fraud, and he knows that he will be going to jail.



View: https://www.npr.org/2023/11/16/1213355557/desantis-florida-president-candidate-voters-trump
 
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By time they do anything, he will have served almost the full term.
 
As long as the Republicans are fighting among themselves, they cannot pass the kind of legislation they stand for these days.

Count your blessings.
 

Trump, 77, issues letter lauding his health and weight loss on Biden's 81st birthday​



In August, Trump self-reported his height and weight to the Fulton County Jail as 6'3" and 215 pounds. Some on social media pointed out those were the same dimensions as Ravens Quarterback Lamar Jackson (though Jackson, at 6'2", is technically shorter).


Trump weighed in at 243 pounds during a presidential physical in 2019. His doctor said then he was overall in "very good health," but was technically obese.
 
Before its official 2024 I wanted to post regarding the election and make a few predictions.

PREDICTION: Americans continue to be short term thinkers:

Americans are notoriously "short term thinking" motivated. As a result, we (royal we) tend to not get that the economy is a lagging indicator and attribute it to whatever president is currently in power.

It's stupid but at this point something that'll likely never change in my lifetime.

GDP growth last month was 4.9%

The economy is doing better than people believe and the economy is less of a factor in voters motivations.
captures_chrome-capture-2023-11-31.png


Yes, I believe that the economy will improve and not only a little but allot. I also think it will not amount to a fart in a fan for Democrats. People will simply adapt and be less susceptible to hearing how the economy is according to Republicans bad.
I continue to believe the two issue that will be front and center will be Abortion and Republican Extremism

PREDICTION: Republicans don't believe ^ my assertion. They will follow the same path saying "it's the crime, economy, kids."

I believe that will be the reason why the next few months Republican primaries will select the most far right, MAGA, Trumpie, extremist candidates. This will feed into my assertion that Republican Extremism will be a campaign issue.

Take Colorado and Lauren Boebert for example:


She was in a position to lose her districts primary against dull as dishwater Jeff Hurd. By abandoning the seat to run in CD-4 she shook up the race not only of CD4 but of her old district as well.
Ron Hanks announced he will enter the primary to provide a conservative choice.

Hanks_Video-1-1024x576.png


So she turned what was a safe bet in her likely defeat to a toss up in the republican primary .

Turn to where she moved CD-4... Its a packed field of crazy. Which statistically means crazy gets the primary nomination.

Jerry Sonnenberg
National Republicans prefer the former State Senator

Richard Holtorf
State Rep. from Akron

Deborah Flora
Failed 2022 GOP Senate candidate and radio host was first to officially announce

Ted Harvey
Former State Senator Build the Wall scam guy

Mike Lynch
State House Minority Leader

Lora Thomas
Douglas County Commissioner has been eyeing this seat for awhile and has commissioned a poll.

Gino Campana
Failed 2022 U.S. Senate candidate could self-fund

Trent Leisy
The guy with the “MAGA KING” hat

Justin Schreiber
Angry, White, young male

Boebert has to out crazy them all and not raise the im an extremist flag for the rest of the state which is becoming tired of Republicans picking crazy.

I include all of this because I think that is what we are about to see. My above prediction will likely become true as Republicans pick extreme candidates that will alienate and alarm the general electorate.

PREDICTION: The House and Senate Flip, BIden is reelected and Trump is found guilty.

Happy New Years
 
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